Update April 13
After five weeks of bombing Iran with Iran retaliating against the oil monarchies, which were collaborating with the U.S. and Israel, it became clear even to the Donald Trump administration that from their point of view, the war wasn’t going anywhere. There was talk that the U.S. might seize one or more Iranian islands. But even if successful, this would have achieved little. A full-scale invasion of Iran, meaning a march on Tehran, is out of the question at the current time.
Iran is a country of around 93 million people. This is larger than the German population of 80 million at the time of the U.S. invasion of Western Europe and Germany in 1944-1945. In geographical size, Iran is about the size of Western Europe. And of course, there is no equivalent to the armed forces of the Soviet Union attacking from the other side. This means that a “March to Tehran” like the march on Baghdad in 2003 is ruled out. If attempted, this would be the largest foreign military operation by the U.S. since 1945 and possibly even larger. This would require, at the very least, a full-scale mobilization and a renewed military draft.
Unlike in 1944-1945, when the U.S. enjoyed the support of most of the non-German Western European population who did not want to be ruled by Nazi Germany, this certainly would not be the case in any attempted “march on Tehran”. There are other important differences as well, and these are not in the U.S.’s favor. In 1944-45, U.S. industry was, relative to the industry of other countries, at its historic peak. Today, U.S. industrial production lags far behind China. The effects of the long-term decline of the U.S. are being felt as the U.S. and its extension, the Zionist entity, are running low on munitions. Unlike in 1944-1945, when the U.S. dollar was rock solid, the U.S. dollar had been plunging against gold, with the dollar price of gold above $5,000 per troy ounce when the war began on Feb. 28. Therefore, the Trump administration was forced to accept a two-week ceasefire on April 8. Talks to find a permanent end to the war opened in Pakistan on April 11 and collapsed on April 12 when the U.S. insisted that Iran give up its entire nuclear power industry.
A Critique of Crisis Theory 